በGoogle Translation የተተረጎመ · እንግሊዝኛ
Reporting and analysis on Ethiopia, Eritrea and the wider Horn. Every piece ends with our conclusion and what we read to reach it.
Four leaders met in Egypt and published a text now widely described as an anti-Ethiopia front. The document never says the word. What it does say is narrower, and more useful.
ሙሉ ዘገባውን ያንብቡ
Amhara Fano fighters helped the federal army crush the TPLF in 2021. They are now in an armed alliance with it. Understand that inversion and the rest of this war stops looking random.
A new interim administration and elections are being promised. The harder questions are who chooses the officials, who accepts their authority, and whether political negotiation can replace another contest of force.
Federal forces hold the Tigrayan capital and the TPLF says it has withdrawn — the first thing in this war both sides agree on. Three days earlier an American think tank named the capture of Mekelle as one of the thresholds that could pull Eritrea into the fighting. That threshold has now been crossed.
Explosions near the army's headquarters, a diplomat in the city pointing to small commercial drones, and an Ethiopian security source saying air defences shot them down. The government will not comment publicly. This is the first time the war has touched the capital.
Seven armed and political groups announced an alliance on 20 September. Three weeks later, only one of them has been publicly named. That gap matters, because this is the body being credited with drone attacks on the capital.
A year since El Fasher fell and the world briefly looked, Sudan's war has not ended, it has spread. We checked what satellite imagery of that city can and cannot tell you, and explain where the fighting is now.
A documented sanctions removal and an Eritrean account of U.S. talks show diplomatic movement. They do not establish a military alliance or a promise of American protection in the current crisis.
The Alamein declaration puts maritime governance, the Nile and sovereignty into one diplomatic package. That is a regional alignment, not proof of a joint military campaign against Ethiopia.
Asmara has severed all diplomatic relations after Ethiopia expelled ten of its diplomats and shut its embassy. Egypt was pulled in within days. What began as fighting in Tigray is now entangled with the two oldest quarrels in the Horn: the Nile, and the sea.
AFP reports returning connections and mobile payments, but closed shops and worried residents. For families waiting for news, the distinction between a reachable city and a safe one matters.
Two dated operational accounts explain what a battlefield map cannot: whether relief teams can move, and whether patients can reach care. Neither is a live service update for 4 October.
The UN human rights office accuses the TPLF of an ongoing campaign of forced mass recruitment, and says those who refuse have been killed, tortured and detained. It makes a second accusation in the same breath, against the government. Nobody outside can check either, because Tigray is cut off.
Communications across Tigray were cut around 25 September. A bishop in Adigrat says his communities have no contact with anyone. This is the reason almost nothing coming out of the region can be checked — including the claims both sides are making about who is winning.