Dahsas

ብGoogle Translation ዝተተርጎመ · እንግሊዝኛ

29 መስከረም 2026 · መዓርፎ ነፈርቲ በላይ ዘለቀ፡ ባህርዳር፡ ኣምሓራ

ሓቂ ድዩ?ዘይተነጸረ~50%

ኣብ መዓስከር ሓይሊ ኣየር ENDF፡ ከባቢ Mekod፡ ባህርዳር ዝተባህለ መጥቃዕቲ ድሮን

ተሓዲሱ

ACLED ብ 29 September ኣብ ከባቢ Mekod ናይ ባህርዳር ኣብ ዝርከብ መዓስከር ሓይሊ ኣየር መጥቃዕቲ ድሮን ከምዘጋጠመ ይጸብጽብ፡ እዚ እውን ከምብሓድሽ ናብ Alliance for Survival ዝተዋህበ እዩ።

ካብ ደበና ነጻ ዝኾኑ ናይ 27 Septemberን 2 Octoberን ምስልታት ሳተላይት ኣብቲ መዓርፎ ነፈርቲ ዝኾነ ዝረአ ለውጢ ኣየርእዩን፡ ከምኡ'ውን ኣርባዕተ ግዜ ናይ ለይቲ ዑደት ሳተላይት እኳ እንተነበረ ኣብ ውሽጢ 54km ዝኾነ ዋዒ ኣይተረኽበን። ኣብ ሓደ መዓስከር ዝግበር መጥቃዕቲ ግድን ባርዕ ከልዕል ስለዘይብሉ፡ እዚ ነቲ ጸብጻብ ኣይነጽጎን እዩ — እንታይ ክኸውን ከምዝኽእል የጸብቦ እዩ።

Claim
15204555809599 ← ተነጺጉ ተረጋጊጹ →
ብ 29 September ሓንቲ ርእሰ-ቕትለት ድሮን ኣብ ከባቢ Mekod ናይ ባህርዳር ዝርከብ መዓስከር ሓይሊ ኣየር ENDF ዒላማ ገይራ።ACLED (Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, ላዕለዋይ ተንታኒ ምብራቕ ኣፍሪቃ)ደሓን ተኽእሎ
ደሓን ተኽእሎ

ሳተላይት

ቅድምን ድሕርን

Satellite image before the reported event
27 September, 08:06Z · before
Satellite image after the reported event
2 October, 08:06Z · after

6.1 km across · Sentinel-2 (S2B) MSI L2A · 10.0 m per pixel · identical extent and scale

እዚ ከርእዮ ዝኽእልን ዘይክእልን። Sentinel-2 true colour at 10 m per pixel, acquired 83.1 h after the reported event time. One pixel is roughly the footprint of a small building, so damage to an individual structure, a crater, or munition debris would not be resolved. This imagery could show a burn scar, a large destroyed or removed structure, a plume caught at the moment of overpass, or substantial change to fuel or vehicle areas. Absence of visible change therefore carries little information about whether a small strike occurred. ACLED reports a suicide drone strike on an air force base. Destroyed aircraft on an apron, a burning fuel or ammunition store, or a large burn scar are all within reach of 10 m imagery; a single impact on a hardened structure is not.

ትዕዝብትታት

እቲ መርትዖ ዘርእዮ

ንሕና እንርእዮ

ነቶም ናይ 27 Septemberን 2 Octoberን ተመሳሳሊ ስፍሓት ዘለዎም ስእልታት ክነጻጸሩ ከለዉ፡ ክልቲኦም ብተግባር ካብ ደበና ነጻ ዝኾኑ፡ እቲ መዕረፊ ነፈርቲ፡ መቆሚ ነፈርቲ፡ ከባቢ ተርሚናልን ኣብ ከባቢኡ ዘለዉ ህንጻታትን ኣብ መንጎ እዞም ክልተ ዕለታት ፍልልይ የብሎምን። ዝኾነ ናይ ባርዕ በሰላ፡ ዝኾነ ትኪ፡ ዝኾነ ዝተኣልየ ወይ ዝፈረሰ ህንጻ፡ ዝኾነ ዝተዘርገ መሬት፡ ከምኡ'ውን ኣብቲ መቆሚ ነፈርቲ ደው ኣብ ዝበሉ ነገራት ዝኾነ ዝረአ ለውጢ የለን።

ምስ ምንታይ ከም ዝሰማማዕ

ኣብ መንጎ እዘን ዕለታት ኣብቲ መዓርፎ ነፈርቲ ዝኾነ ሰፊሕ ኣካላዊ ለውጢ ምስ ዘይምህላዉ ዝሰማማዕ እዩ። እዚ ጽሩይ ንጽጽር እዩ — ክልቲኡ ትርኢታት ዳርጋ ካብ ደበና ነጻ ኮይኑ ተመሳሳሊ መሬት ይሽፍን — ስለዚ እቲ ባዶነት ኣብቲ ዳታ ዘሎ ሃጓፍ ዘይኮነስ ሓቀኛ ትዕዝብቲ እዩ። እዚ ግን ዝሰሓተ፡ ዘይተፈንጀረ፡ ወይ ድልዱል ህንጻ ዝወቕዐ መጥቃዕቲ ኣየወግድን እዩ።

ንሕና እንርእዮ

ካብ 25 September ክሳብ 2 October ኣብ ዘሎ ግዜ ኣብ ውሽጢ 10 km ርሕቀት ካብ መዓርፎ ነፈርቲ Belay Zeleke ዝኾነ ናይ FIRMS ዋዒ መለለዪ የለን፡ እቲ ዝቐረበ 54.7 km እዩ ነይሩ። ብ29 September ሸውዓተ ዝተፈላለዩ ናይ ሳተላይት ምሕላፋት ነዚ ሓገዝ ሸፊኖምዎ፡ ኣርባዕተ ካብኣቶም ብለይቲ።

ምስ ምንታይ ከም ዝሰማማዕ

ናይ ለይቲ ሽፋን ኣብዚ ኣገዳሲ እዩ፡ ድሕሪ ጸልማት ዝነድድ ሓዊ ሓደ ናይ ዋዒ ዳሳሲ ኣዝዩ ተነቃፊ ዝኾነሉ እዋን እዩ፡ ኣርባዕተ ናይ ለይቲ ምሕላፋት ድማ ዋላ ሓንቲ ኣይረኸቡን። ምስቲ ጽሩይ ናይ ስእሊ ንጽጽር ተደሚሩ እዚ ማእከላይ ሓበሬታ ዝህብ እዩ — ካብቲ ዝኾነ ሓዊ ዘይተባህለሉ Bishoftu ንላዕሊ፡ ከምኡ'ውን ካብቲ ዝተባህለ ዒላማ መኽዘን ነዳዲ ዝነበረሉን ሓዊ ድማ ትጽቢት ዝግበረሉ ሳዕቤን ዝነበረሉን Kombolcha ንታሕቲ። ናይ ACLED ክስ ኣብዚ ኣብ ልዕሊ ሓደ መዓስከር ዝተገብረ መጥቃዕቲ እዩ፡ እዚ ድማ ብፍጹም ክልለ ዝኽእል ሓዊ ከስዕብ ኣየድልዮን እዩ።

ገምጋማት

ክሲ ብኽሲ

ብ 29 September ሓንቲ ርእሰ-ቕትለት ድሮን ኣብ ከባቢ Mekod ናይ ባህርዳር ዝርከብ መዓስከር ሓይሊ ኣየር ENDF ዒላማ ገይራ።

Claimed by ACLED (Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, ላዕለዋይ ተንታኒ ምብራቕ ኣፍሪቃ) · source rating B3

ደሓን ተኽእሎ 45–55%

ሓደ ምንጪ ነዚ ይጸብጽብ። ቅድሚኡን ድሕሪኡን ዝተወስዱ ምስልታት ሳተላይት ኣብቲ መዓርፎ ነፈርቲ ዝኾነ ለውጢ ኣየርእዩን፡ ከምኡ'ውን ኣብ ኣርባዕተ ናይ ለይቲ ዑደታት ሓዊሱ ኣብ ቀረባ ዝኾነ ባርዕ ኣይተረኽበን። ኣብ ሓደ መዓስከር ዝግበር መጥቃዕቲ ግድን ባርዕ ከልዕል ስለዘይብሉ፡ እዚ ነቲ ጸብጻብ ብዘይ ምንጻግ እንታይ ክኸውን ከምዝኽእል የጸብቦ።

ነዚ ዘሓላልኾ ነገር

No independent check run.

እንታይ ሓሳብና ክቕይሮ ይኽእል

ክልተ ብሓቂ ናጻ ዝኾኑ ቀዳሞት ምንጭታት ምልላይ ነዚ ብዓቢኡ ክብ ከብሎ ይኽእል እዩ። ሓደ መበቆል ከምዘለዎም ምርካብ ድማ ትሕት ከብሎ ይኽእል እዩ።

ምንጭታት

እዚ ዝምርኮሰሉ ኩሉ ነገር

  • መጽናዕቲ — ACLED expert comment, 'Blasts in Addis Ababa signal dangerous new phase in Ethiopia's conflict', attributed to Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, East Africa Senior Analyst. States that suicide drone strikes believed to have been carried out by the ዝተዓቀበ ቅዳሕ
  • ቴርማል — NASA FIRMS detections within 150 km of Belay Zeleke airport, 25 Sep - 2 Oct 2026: only four in the entire window, and NONE within 10 km of the airport at any time. The nearest ever was 54.7 km, on 29 September itself. Overpass coverage on 2 ካብ ዝተመዝገበ ሕቶ ዳግማይ ዝተፈጠረ

ዓሚቝ ዳህሳስ

ምንጭታትን ቴክኒካዊ መበቆልን

ACLED

ACLED expert comment, 'Blasts in Addis Ababa signal dangerous new phase in Ethiopia's conflict', attributed to Dr Jalale Getachew Birru, East Africa Senior Analyst. States that suicide drone strikes believed to have been carried out by the Alliance for Survival targeted, on the day following the Kombolcha strike, 'ENDF's air force base in Mekod area in Bahir Dar city in Amhara region'.

Technical provenance
Timestamp basis
unknown
Archived at
2026-10-02 17:44:18.521993+00:00
Archive method
existing wayback snapshot
SHA-256
6693c830a8e4d5285fc89aef0b2d2fb02aaf6e1637280e15a501788a006b922b

Satellite image · 27 Sep 2026

Sentinel-2 true-colour crop acquired 2026-09-27T08:06Z, before the reported strike. Footprint covers 100% of the requested area.

Technical provenance
Captured at
2026-09-27 08:06:53.516000+00:00
Timestamp basis
exif
Archived at
2026-10-02 18:12:20.335662+00:00
Archive method
wayback save page now
SHA-256
3ae3bfb968892bbcf0e10ba8bee62f89d2eb99730acaba3b1ca3a599c7e20f89
Licence
Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA. Free and open under the Copernicus licence; redistribution permitted with attribution.
Artifact type
satellite_rgb
Sensor
Sentinel-2 (S2B) MSI L2A
Acquisition start
2026-09-27T08:06:53.516000Z
Source scene id
S2B_37PCN_20260927_0_L2A
Source url
https://earth-search.aws.element84.com/v1/collections/sentinel-2-l2a/items/S2B_37PCN_20260927_0_L2A
Source catalog
Element 84 Earth Search v1 / AWS Open Data sentinel-cogs
Artifact path
media/artifacts/3ae3bfb968892bbc.png
Sha256
3ae3bfb968892bbcf0e10ba8bee62f89d2eb99730acaba3b1ca3a599c7e20f89
Processing
["earth-search STAC query (sentinel-2-l2a)", "windowed read of asset 'visual' at native resolution (EPSG:32637)", "bands 1-3 as RGB", "PNG encode"]
Bbox
[37.293688, 11.577031, 37.348712, 11.630929]
Crs
EPSG:4326
Resolution m
10.0
Cloud cover pct
2.7872
License
Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA. Free and open under the Copernicus licence; redistribution permitted with attribution.
Redistributable
True
Detectability note
Sentinel-2 true colour at 10 m per pixel, acquired 36.9 h before the reported event time. One pixel is roughly the footprint of a small building, so damage to an individual structure, a crater, or munition debris would not be resolved. This imagery could show a burn scar, a large destroyed or removed structure, a plume caught at the moment of overpass, or substantial change to fuel or vehicle areas. Absence of visible change therefore carries little information about whether a small strike occurred. ACLED reports a suicide drone strike on an air force base. Destroyed aircraft on an apron, a burning fuel or ammunition store, or a large burn scar are all within reach of 10 m imagery; a single impact on a hardened structure is not.

Satellite image · 2 Oct 2026

Sentinel-2 true-colour crop acquired 2026-10-02T08:06Z, after the reported strike. Footprint covers 100% of the requested area.

Technical provenance
Captured at
2026-10-02 08:06:55.315000+00:00
Timestamp basis
exif
Archived at
2026-10-02 18:12:36.396374+00:00
Archive method
wayback save page now
SHA-256
ba8bdbe9c779fa149798b73a0107214388a6747b343a828e14e55a50115a8824
Licence
Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA. Free and open under the Copernicus licence; redistribution permitted with attribution.
Artifact type
satellite_rgb
Sensor
Sentinel-2 (S2C) MSI L2A
Acquisition start
2026-10-02T08:06:55.315000Z
Source scene id
S2C_37PCN_20261002_0_L2A
Source url
https://earth-search.aws.element84.com/v1/collections/sentinel-2-l2a/items/S2C_37PCN_20261002_0_L2A
Source catalog
Element 84 Earth Search v1 / AWS Open Data sentinel-cogs
Artifact path
media/artifacts/ba8bdbe9c779fa14.png
Sha256
ba8bdbe9c779fa149798b73a0107214388a6747b343a828e14e55a50115a8824
Processing
["earth-search STAC query (sentinel-2-l2a)", "windowed read of asset 'visual' at native resolution (EPSG:32637)", "bands 1-3 as RGB", "PNG encode"]
Bbox
[37.293688, 11.577031, 37.348712, 11.630929]
Crs
EPSG:4326
Resolution m
10.0
Cloud cover pct
0.108
License
Copernicus Sentinel data 2026, processed by ESA. Free and open under the Copernicus licence; redistribution permitted with attribution.
Redistributable
True
Detectability note
Sentinel-2 true colour at 10 m per pixel, acquired 83.1 h after the reported event time. One pixel is roughly the footprint of a small building, so damage to an individual structure, a crater, or munition debris would not be resolved. This imagery could show a burn scar, a large destroyed or removed structure, a plume caught at the moment of overpass, or substantial change to fuel or vehicle areas. Absence of visible change therefore carries little information about whether a small strike occurred. ACLED reports a suicide drone strike on an air force base. Destroyed aircraft on an apron, a burning fuel or ammunition store, or a large burn scar are all within reach of 10 m imagery; a single impact on a hardened structure is not.

Fire-detection data

NASA FIRMS detections within 150 km of Belay Zeleke airport, 25 Sep - 2 Oct 2026: only four in the entire window, and NONE within 10 km of the airport at any time. The nearest ever was 54.7 km, on 29 September itself. Overpass coverage on 29 September is strong, including night: VIIRS NOAA-20 at 00:03Z, 09:28Z, 11:06-11:08Z and 21:59-22:01Z, plus MODIS at 02:11Z, 06:22Z and 12:57Z, with that day's Ethiopian detections spanning latitudes 3.06-14.04.

Technical provenance
Timestamp basis
exif
SHA-256
bedf122d1aff38597564e2e6d751efc0ed46a6e9dc01d1e8b3928f19d300d557
Reproduction procedure
Stream the open 7-day global CSVs for noaa-20-viirs-c2, suomi-npp-viirs-c2 and modis-c6.1 from firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/data/active_fire/, filter to Ethiopia then to within 150 km of the site. No API key needed. The window is ROLLING and was captured on 2026-10-02 covering 25 Sep - 2 Oct; after that date these files no longer reach this event, which is why the subset is stored here. For later work use the FIRMS archive API, which needs a free key.
Upstream sources
["NASA FIRMS / VIIRS and MODIS active fire products"]